Survivor: Ghost Island's sixth episode was a BANG and minus last week's episode, this is shaping up as one of the very best pre-merge seasons in Survivor history. With James, one of the most boring players of the season, the latest casualty, we have a ton of dynamic personalities moving forward. This week a few players were finally more heavily edited, and this is a good point in the game to revise the predicted boot order:
7th person voted out: Bradley -- Bradley continues to be arrogant as heck and get a large but strictly negative edit. He's decidedly more Peter Bagastos than Nick Murliono which leads me to believe if he made the merge the editors would at least try to hide some of his arrogance. There's one pre-merge boot left and based on the edit, it's going to be Bradley.
MERGE
8th person voted out, first jury member: Chris -- Chris got a somewhat smaller edit today, and it also had some negative tones, both of which don't fit the bill perfectly for the merge boot. That said, throughout the season, his edit has screamed merge boot, and I'm rather confident that he or Domenick will be out super early jury, and I don't see Domenick going anywhere, anytime soon. Therefore I'm sticking with my Chris prediction, though I have to admit it crossed my mind that Domenick could be the merge boot and Chris could be the runner up. It crossed my mind, but briefly.
9th person voted out, second jury member: Jenna -- Enough people are getting strong edits at this point, and Jenna is not one of them. She is going to be early jury. I'd be shocked if she wasn't. Whether she's ninth, tenth, or eleventh out is anyone's guess, but she's not going farther than that. Sorry Jenna.
10th person voted out, third jury member: Angela -- We finally saw more from Angela this week, but I believe she made a terrible decision voting James out over Des. Her entire "alliance" voted against her early, so WHY keep them around? It's beyond me. I believe Angela has qualities of a good player, but she doesn't use them correctly, and it's going to cost her. Sooner than later.
11th person voted out, fourth jury member: Chelsea -- Another early juror based on the edit. There's no way in heck Purple Chelsea is getting farther than this, but her edit has been slightly more consistent than that of Jenna or Angela so I have her going farther than them.
12th person voted out, fifth jury member: Sebastian -- Nothing's changed for Sea Bass. Same old Same Bass. Still giving off mid-jury vibes. Not smart enough or well-edited enough to go farther than that, but not going anywhere super soon either.
13th person voted out, sixth jury member: Donathan -- My late pre-jury, early jury, and mid jury predictions stayed very similar after this week's episode but I did a lot of reshuffling of the late jury. I've always had Donathan as the F6 "journey edit" boot but other players with lesser stories are getting larger edits, and I just don't see a spot in the finale for Donathan at this point. It's likely that he'll turn out more of a Zeke than a Cirie in terms of journey edits.
14th person voted out, seventh jury member: Libby -- Libby was very quiet again this week, but Domenick referred to her as Parvati 2.0. Probst said they found the new Parvati this season so it's pretty clear that it's probably Libby at this point. This is right where Parvati went out her first season, and she's not well edited enough to make the finale, but I don't think "new Parvati" would go before late jury. I'm semi confident of placing Libby here.
15th person voted out, eigth jury member: Michael -- Michael continues to play a great game and I'll hate to see him go, but there's no way he's going to the FTC given his edit. I've had him as the last boot for a while, but I no longer see him getting the decoy winner edit. I'm starting to see his edit more Jay Starrett and less David Wright. His edit is too large to be the F5 boot, but he's almost certainly in the finale, so this is the spot to place him.
16th person voted out, ninth jury member: Wendell -- Wendell continues to be a bit of a question mark for me, and there hasn't been a player for a while that I've "struggled" to see a finishing placement for as much as I'm struggling with Wendell this season. He could be getting a winner edit, but there's a better contender for it. He could be getting second runner up edit, but there's a better contender for it. I honestly feel as if he should be in the FTC based on his edit, but there's no spot for him there. He's certainly not getting the last boot edit, so I have to place him here. For some reason it still doesn't feel right though.
17th person voted out, tenth and final jury member: Desiree -- I've been all over the map with Desiree for the last few rounds, but this feels like her spot. She had a fairly "negative tone" edit this week which means she won't win, but I feel her edit was large enough she'll be in the finale. Her quote of feeling like her challenge loss could haunt her for a long time could easily be foreshadowing of losing fire at the F4. She also seems to be getting the underdog edit which is often the F4 boot. She could also be second runner up as there are similarities between her and Ryan, but I don't see Laurel losing fire and do think she's more likely to be in the FTC.
Final Three: Kellyn Bechtold (winner, 5 jury votes), Domenick Abbate (runner up, 3 jury votes), Laurel Johnson (second runner up, 2 jury votes)
Another strong week for all three of our FTC players and I see no reason to doubt they will be the Final 3. To me, Kellyn continues to receive the winner edit. She once again got a lot of airtime, was instrumental in making sure Angela didn't flip, and got a "storyline" moment at tribal describing her gut being the combination of her head and her heart, with Probst saying that he continues to learn from the players. This was a massive moment and the music changed when it happened. It screamed Sarah at the Varner/Zeke tribal in Game Changers to me, and Kellyn is getting the winner edit all day every day to me. Domenick is an interesting one. I've had him as the runner up since the premiere and I still believe he will be, but in the last episode his edit became a little "different". As I said, I entertained the idea of Chris being the runner up and Domenick the merge boot, and I even wondered if they could be the next Josh/Jeremy. That said, throughout the season the edit signs have pointed to a second place finish for Dom and I'll stick with it, for now. He has played a strong game (with some flaws, admittedly, but overall a fairly strong game) so far, and he could potentially win, but he's had nearly no personal content and I also don't see that at this point. Laurel is another very interesting one. Her edit has slowly gained momentum overtime, and last episode she had some very high quality content. I'm rather confident she'll be in the FTC at this point (unless she's last boot, but I honestly don't see that at this point). She's not getting the runner up edit, so I have her as second runner up given Kellyn's strong winner edit. That said, if the editors are going rogue this season and Kellyn is the merge boot or last boot, Laurel is definitely the next strongest winner contender, and I'd have her as my winner pick if Kellyn wasn't in the picture. Watch Laurel closely.
Stay tuned here, I'll update this again after the next episode!
MERGE
8th person voted out, first jury member: Chris -- Chris got a somewhat smaller edit today, and it also had some negative tones, both of which don't fit the bill perfectly for the merge boot. That said, throughout the season, his edit has screamed merge boot, and I'm rather confident that he or Domenick will be out super early jury, and I don't see Domenick going anywhere, anytime soon. Therefore I'm sticking with my Chris prediction, though I have to admit it crossed my mind that Domenick could be the merge boot and Chris could be the runner up. It crossed my mind, but briefly.
9th person voted out, second jury member: Jenna -- Enough people are getting strong edits at this point, and Jenna is not one of them. She is going to be early jury. I'd be shocked if she wasn't. Whether she's ninth, tenth, or eleventh out is anyone's guess, but she's not going farther than that. Sorry Jenna.
10th person voted out, third jury member: Angela -- We finally saw more from Angela this week, but I believe she made a terrible decision voting James out over Des. Her entire "alliance" voted against her early, so WHY keep them around? It's beyond me. I believe Angela has qualities of a good player, but she doesn't use them correctly, and it's going to cost her. Sooner than later.
11th person voted out, fourth jury member: Chelsea -- Another early juror based on the edit. There's no way in heck Purple Chelsea is getting farther than this, but her edit has been slightly more consistent than that of Jenna or Angela so I have her going farther than them.
12th person voted out, fifth jury member: Sebastian -- Nothing's changed for Sea Bass. Same old Same Bass. Still giving off mid-jury vibes. Not smart enough or well-edited enough to go farther than that, but not going anywhere super soon either.
13th person voted out, sixth jury member: Donathan -- My late pre-jury, early jury, and mid jury predictions stayed very similar after this week's episode but I did a lot of reshuffling of the late jury. I've always had Donathan as the F6 "journey edit" boot but other players with lesser stories are getting larger edits, and I just don't see a spot in the finale for Donathan at this point. It's likely that he'll turn out more of a Zeke than a Cirie in terms of journey edits.
14th person voted out, seventh jury member: Libby -- Libby was very quiet again this week, but Domenick referred to her as Parvati 2.0. Probst said they found the new Parvati this season so it's pretty clear that it's probably Libby at this point. This is right where Parvati went out her first season, and she's not well edited enough to make the finale, but I don't think "new Parvati" would go before late jury. I'm semi confident of placing Libby here.
15th person voted out, eigth jury member: Michael -- Michael continues to play a great game and I'll hate to see him go, but there's no way he's going to the FTC given his edit. I've had him as the last boot for a while, but I no longer see him getting the decoy winner edit. I'm starting to see his edit more Jay Starrett and less David Wright. His edit is too large to be the F5 boot, but he's almost certainly in the finale, so this is the spot to place him.
16th person voted out, ninth jury member: Wendell -- Wendell continues to be a bit of a question mark for me, and there hasn't been a player for a while that I've "struggled" to see a finishing placement for as much as I'm struggling with Wendell this season. He could be getting a winner edit, but there's a better contender for it. He could be getting second runner up edit, but there's a better contender for it. I honestly feel as if he should be in the FTC based on his edit, but there's no spot for him there. He's certainly not getting the last boot edit, so I have to place him here. For some reason it still doesn't feel right though.
17th person voted out, tenth and final jury member: Desiree -- I've been all over the map with Desiree for the last few rounds, but this feels like her spot. She had a fairly "negative tone" edit this week which means she won't win, but I feel her edit was large enough she'll be in the finale. Her quote of feeling like her challenge loss could haunt her for a long time could easily be foreshadowing of losing fire at the F4. She also seems to be getting the underdog edit which is often the F4 boot. She could also be second runner up as there are similarities between her and Ryan, but I don't see Laurel losing fire and do think she's more likely to be in the FTC.
Final Three: Kellyn Bechtold (winner, 5 jury votes), Domenick Abbate (runner up, 3 jury votes), Laurel Johnson (second runner up, 2 jury votes)
Another strong week for all three of our FTC players and I see no reason to doubt they will be the Final 3. To me, Kellyn continues to receive the winner edit. She once again got a lot of airtime, was instrumental in making sure Angela didn't flip, and got a "storyline" moment at tribal describing her gut being the combination of her head and her heart, with Probst saying that he continues to learn from the players. This was a massive moment and the music changed when it happened. It screamed Sarah at the Varner/Zeke tribal in Game Changers to me, and Kellyn is getting the winner edit all day every day to me. Domenick is an interesting one. I've had him as the runner up since the premiere and I still believe he will be, but in the last episode his edit became a little "different". As I said, I entertained the idea of Chris being the runner up and Domenick the merge boot, and I even wondered if they could be the next Josh/Jeremy. That said, throughout the season the edit signs have pointed to a second place finish for Dom and I'll stick with it, for now. He has played a strong game (with some flaws, admittedly, but overall a fairly strong game) so far, and he could potentially win, but he's had nearly no personal content and I also don't see that at this point. Laurel is another very interesting one. Her edit has slowly gained momentum overtime, and last episode she had some very high quality content. I'm rather confident she'll be in the FTC at this point (unless she's last boot, but I honestly don't see that at this point). She's not getting the runner up edit, so I have her as second runner up given Kellyn's strong winner edit. That said, if the editors are going rogue this season and Kellyn is the merge boot or last boot, Laurel is definitely the next strongest winner contender, and I'd have her as my winner pick if Kellyn wasn't in the picture. Watch Laurel closely.
Stay tuned here, I'll update this again after the next episode!
No comments:
Post a Comment